Man United vs Newcastle prediction
  • Here is the Man United vs Newcastle prediction article which breaks down form, key players and H2H meetings ahead of the clash.
  • The match will be staged at the Old Trafford on Friday December 26, 2025.
  • Kickoff is at 11:00pm EAT.

Premier League fans are in for a treat this Boxing Day as Manchester United host Newcastle at Old Trafford.

To the surprise and frustration of many, this is the first Boxing Day in Premier League history to feature as few as one game.

It pits the side with the most Boxing Day wins in the competition (Man Utd, 22) against the team with the joint-most defeats (Newcastle, 16).

ALSO READ: Liverpool smash Tottenham to equal Manchester United’s title record

Man United vs Newcastle prediction
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For United, things had been progressing reasonably well before they met Aston Villa over the weekend.

They suffered a crushing 2-1 defeat and also felt the sting of injuries, as their most creative player, Bruno Fernandes, picked up a problem that is expected to rule him out for a while.

Morgan Rogers managed to score two sensational goals for Unai Emery’s side as they continued their good form, condemning Ruben Amorim team to their fifth loss of the season.

ALSO READ: Manchester United target Amorim after axing Ten Hag

The result leaves United seventh in the table with 26 points- a substantial 13 points behind title hopefuls Arsenal and 10 points off third place.

For United, this period represents a marked improvement from last season. At this same stage a year ago, they were languishing in 13th place with 22 points, whereas now they find themselves six places higher.

Meanwhile, Newcastle head into Christmas in the bottom half.

They took a 2-0 lead against Chelsea last time out, thanks to Nick Woltemade’s first-half double, only to surrender that advantage in a match that finished 2-2.

Man United vs Newcastle prediction

The Magpies have won just one of their last four league games, but they do have another EFL Cup semi-final to look forward to and remain well placed in the UEFA Champions League.

This season may have been frustrating so far, but there are still plenty of reasons for optimism.

Here are the key details for the Manchester United vs Newcastle match on Boxing Day, along with betting tips for your wager at SportPesa, which offers a variety of markets and instant payouts.

What time does Manchester United vs Newcastle kick off?

United will host the Magpies at Old Trafford on Friday, December 26, with kick-off set for 23:00 EAT.

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Manchester United vs Newcastle team news

Magpies boss Eddie Howe said there is a “chance” that Nick Pope could return in goal, with Aaron Ramsdale having deputized in his absence.

Influential midfielder Joelinton is battling to be fit, while Lewis Hall and Lewis Miley are expected to be available despite slight question marks over their fitness.

Tino Livramento and Sven Botman are making progress but look likely to miss out, along with Dan Burn, Kieran Trippier, Emil Krafth, and Jamaal Lascelles.

Man United vs Newcastle prediction
Bruno Fernandes of Manchester United during the FA Community Shield football match between Manchester City and Manchester United on 10 August 2024 at Wembley Stadium in London, England – Photo Nigel Keene / ProSportsImages / DPPI (Photo by Nigel Keene / ProSportsImages / DPPI via AFP)

Manchester United head coach Ruben Amorim has ruled Bruno Fernandes and Kobbie Mainoo out of the Boxing Day clash with Newcastle.

Casemiro will return from suspension for United, while Amad, Noussair Mazraoui, and Bryan Mbeumo remain away representing their countries at the Africa Cup of Nations.

United vs Newcastle predicted line-up

  • Manchester United: Lammens, Yoro, Heaven, Shaw, Dalot, Ugarte, Casemiro, Dorgu, Mount, Matheus, Sesko.
  • Newcastle United: Ramsdale, Miley, Thiaw, Schär, Hall, Guimarães, Tonali, Ramsey, Murphy, Gordon, Woltemade.
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Manchester United vs Newcastle head-to-head record

These two sides will be meeting for the 182nd time in history. United have won 92 of those encounters, while Newcastle hold 42 victories, with 41 matches ending level.

United have lost four of their last five Premier League games against Newcastle (W1), as many as they had in their previous 38 against the Magpies (W25 D9).

Newcastle, however, did the league double over Manchester United last season, including a 2-0 win in this exact fixture.

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Recent five Premier League meetings

  • Apr 13, 2025: Newcastle 4-1 Man Utd
  • Dec 30, 2024: Man Utd 0-2 Newcastle
  • May 15, 2024: Man Utd 3-2 Newcastle
  • Dec 02, 2023: Newcastle 1-0 Man Utd
  • Apr 02, 2023: Newcastle 2-0 Man Utd

Man United vs Newcastle prediction and betting tips

Newcastle United have won their last two away league matches played between Christmas and New Year, beating Leicester on Boxing Day 2022 and Man Utd on 30 December last year.

Newcastle’s Nick Woltemade has scored seven Premier League goals this season. The only German players to net more often in their debut campaign are Jürgen Klinsmann in 1994-95 (20), Lukas Podolski in 2012-13 (11), and André Schürrle in 2013-14 (8).

Man United vs Newcastle prediction
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United have won all three of their Premier League Boxing Day games against Newcastle, with each coming under a different manager: 4-3 in 2012 (Ferguson), 3-1 in 2014 (van Gaal), and 4-1 in 2019 (Solskjaer).

Manchester United have failed to win any of their seven Premier League games since the 2022-23 campaign without Bruno Fernandes in the starting lineup, losing six of those (D1).

SportPesa odds under 2.5 @ odds 2.32

With such insights, this match is expected to be a thrilling encounter, with Newcastle tipped to be the side more likely to take win at Old Trafford.

However, Ruben Amorim’s charges will not surrender easily and will be determined to secure a victory themselves, promising a highly competitive affair with goals likely at both ends.

By Magiri Brian

Brian Magiri is a passionate sports journalist and all-around sports enthusiast. He loves diving into the worlds of football, rugby, basketball, tennis, and Formula 1, bringing stories to life with energy and insight. For Brian, anything exciting happening in sports is worth exploring and sharing.

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